According to @WatcherGuru, Polymarket shows a 63% market-implied probability that President Trump would select Kevin Hassett to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair as of December 1, 2025, based on the referenced prediction market contract pricing (source: Watcher.Guru; Polymarket). The post specifies odds from a prediction market rather than an official appointment, indicating traders can monitor the Polymarket contract directly for real-time probability changes to inform positioning and risk management around potential Fed leadership headlines (source: Watcher.Guru; Polymarket).